时间：2026-04-05 00:19:35 来源：Blue Pulse Markets Daily

Brazil’s main stock exchange B3 will begin offering six new derivatives contracts on secure futures and spot trading automation platform for active tradersApril 27 that allow investors to bet on the likelihood of future events, ranging from the price of bitcoin to movements in the dollar and Ibovespa index.\n\nThe instruments, called Event Contracts, operate on a framework similar to prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Prices range up to 100 reals ($19), with each contract's price reflecting the market’s estimated probability of an outcome.\n\nB3’s contracts are regulated by Brazil’s securities authority (CVM) and designed for professional investors, the exchange said .\n\nThe six contracts cover mini futures and spot prices for the Ibovespa index, the U.S. dollar, and bitcoin. They are structured with fixed payouts and known risks from the outset, like crypto price prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.\n\nTraders won’t take delivery of the underlying assets, and settlement is instead cash-based. For now, only investors with more than 10 million reals ($1.9 million) in assets or CVM certification can trade the new products.\n\nB3’s vice president of Products and Clients, Luiz Masagão, said the launch is part of a broader push to modernize derivatives trading in Brazil.\n\nThe exchange already offers contracts tied to central bank decisions in several countries and has watched the growth of predictive platforms abroad closely, Masagão added.\n\nThe exchange late last year revealed it’s working on its own tokenization platform and stablecoin , both expected to be launched this year.\n\nB3's launch marks the first federally regulated prediction market in Brazil, though it enters an increasingly crowded field. Platforms like Prévias and Palpitada have been operating domestically in a regulatory gray area, while U.S.-based Kalshi recently partnered with XP International , Brazil's largest brokerage, to offer event contracts tied to Brazilian economic outcomes.\n\nThe move also comes amid a global prediction market boom. Notional volume is now nearing $160 billion, according to a Dune dashboard , while unique users have crossed the 3 million mark.\n\nPolymarket and Kalshi dominate the space globally, accounting for most of the notional volume. Intercontinental Exchange, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, recently doubled down on Polymarket and bringing its total commitment to nearly $2 billion.\n\nStill, the regulatory landscape remains unsettled on both sides of the equator. In Brazil, legal experts say it's unclear whether oversight of prediction markets should ultimately fall to the CVM, the Central Bank, or the Ministry of Finance.

上一篇：Jamie Dimon signals JPMorgan entry into prediction markets as competition surges
下一篇：Galaxy Digital's testnet suffers hack but no client funds or information were compromised

• ·Bitcoin traders keep chasing Trump’s Iran noise. The real signals are elsewhere.
• ·What makes a strong solution for Paper Trading 409
• ·Beginner guide to Strategy Backtesting 862
• ·How Market Analysis improves daily trading workflows 93
• ·The bitcoin treasury boom is unwinding as some companies and governments sell holdings
• ·Why more users are adopting Webhook Trading 320
• ·Why more users are adopting Trading Dashboard 308
• ·How Automated Crypto Trading supports long term strategy development 341
• ·Cango raises capital as it faces NYSE delisting risk with shares below $1
• ·How Signal Execution improves daily trading workflows 927
• ·How Execution Speed supports smarter execution 378
• ·Key benefits of Quantitative Trading for modern traders 243
• ·Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest bitcoin treasury company
• ·Advanced insights into Algorithmic Trading 132
• ·Key benefits of Quantitative Trading for modern traders 323
• ·How to evaluate a platform for Spot Trading 991